Why Obama will be our next President

Obama and John McCain both have detractors inside of their perspective parties.

McCain has alienated some of his support of his party by having a soft stance on immigration and other issues held sacred to the GOP. He is seen as farther the left than many conservatives are comfortable with . At one time his campaign was on the verge of collapsing, he was the last consideration for many Republican voters. Once Republican voters surveyed the rest of the field, they realized that their choices were limited and McCain was their best chance. They settled for their candidate.

Obama has continued to be a source of concern to some the most liberal voters in the Democratic party. He has raised eyebrows with his stance on issues that are more centrist than they would like to see. Consider his opinion on FISA . Add to this a large contingency of rural voters that will not vote for Obama for their own reasons.

This election will not come down to the detractors within the parties ,it will come down to the supporters.

Obama enjoys a broad coalition of voters of both genders, all races , religions, and political affiliations. He has attracted millions of new, young ,voters into the political process. He has motivated formerly apathetic Americans to get involved.

McCain has the support of the typical, conservative, voter. His base is much more narrow in diversity than Obamas base. His campaign has increasingly relied on negative advertisements to try and hurt Obamas image.

My guess is a 7 to 9 percentage point win by Barack Obama. He has motivated millions of new supporters that will negate the loss of votes by the far left of the Democratic Party and the "rural" ( wink,wink) voter.

McCain cannot replace the votes he will lose by not being the ultimate conservative.